Tax Suspension?

Recently my interests have gravitated to subjects not pertinent to this site, so I have only been making occasional visits lately, but last week I find that BGlover and MichaelEmmanuel have registered views on best practices for a stimulus package for the economy. Both feel an income tax suspension, for a limited time, as opposed to a marginal rate decrease, is a better step the government could take to address financial difficulties and stimulate the economy. At first blush their proposal has appeal, but for me, upon consideration, ends up more delicious than nutritious.

Often I think I am in Big Brother's wonderland already. History is rewritten with such audacity I sometimes doubt my own memory. I may possibly be in the early stages of Alzheimer's, but I distinctly remember the economic wisdom of the 1980's, when Japan was the economic behemoth, proclaiming the problem with Americans was that we didn't save enough. Credit, aka, living beyond our means in crass materialistic stupor, as opposed the personal frugality of the average Japanese, was the metaphor for their rise and our decline. Now Washington proposes to either take less or give back more of our money with the proviso that we do our patriotic duty and spend it like crazy. Some pundits and contemporary sages have even expressed fear, "fear" mind you, that skittish Americans might interpret the recent economic convolutions as a caution to save rather than spend. BGlover and MichaelEmmanuel are apparently among Big Brother's second generation, because they obviously were never instructed from the ancient text I reference.

On a practical level, although as a rule of thumb, I am all for limiting government appropriation of the fruits of labor to its barest necessity; I don't see a temporary suspension of the income tax as more than a shot of methadone to a longtime heroin addict: you've stopped the pain and the craving, for as long as the effect lasts. If our problem is the debt people have accumulated operating under the restraints of their net pay, one might think something else must change in addition to their net pay. Perhaps Thoreau was correct when he opined that "a man is wealthy is proportion to the things he can afford to do without". Our economic turmoil is not the result of any lack of commercial transactions, but rather from the harmful reality that credit transactions have become the rule rather than the exception. The increasingly convenient instruments speeding up the transfer of goods from producers to consumers have made virtually all buying "impulse" buying, with too little reflection on ultimate costs, need, utility or value. An income tax suspension without the requisite reduction in profligate materialism and thoughtless consumerism might cause an exacerbation of the underlying problem, and increased commercial activity will be offset, and likely outstripped, by rising and ultimately debilitating personal debt. Another consideration is the predictable inflation and rising cost of living that will result when supply competes with the new artificially stimulated demand, and together will inevitably be that much more burdensome when normal taxation resumes and politicians politic to replace, restore, and create programs and pork pretermitted during the interregnum.

It is quite a conundrum for me. As opposed as I am to the government taking as much as it does, I am equally wary of the repercussions of giving it all back at once. That sixty inch plasma TV MichaelEmmanuel desires probably will not be purchased with the windfall from one, three, or six tax free paychecks. It will likely be bought with credit; and when encumbered with its interest rate and 700 watts per hour energy use, may in real economic terms, turn out to be the low hanging, attractive fruit of an insidiously poisonous tree. A significant portion of the fault, and the dangers, may not be in our taxes, but in ourselves.

My call for suspension of

My call for suspension of federal withholding was merely a suggestion of a more efficient means of achieving the same result. Eventually, the proposed stimulus plan will cost close to $1 trillion dollars and the federal government will add that amount to the deficit and the national debt at one point or another. Printing and /or borrowing money to send out in the form of "stimulus checks" will have an immediate negative effect on our economic well being, kind of the same as an ARM adjusting upwards on a specific date. Suspension of withholding would have the same cumulative effect, a loss of revenue to the treasury, but it is a more desirable, graduated impact. Besides, the price tag on the stimulus is arbitrary, as was the $700 billion plan of last year. They haven't arrived at these numbers by any scientific methods. They numbers have been chosen out of thin air as a "best guess". Suspension of withholding would also allow the stimulus to be scaled back mid-stream, if it turns out the economy begins to recover sooner than predicted. No massive amount of new money in the system. The fed could borrow and print only what it would need to sustain itself during the tax revenue shortfall.

I do agree with your preference for a more frugal society, but no gov't. plan will change the hearts and mind of the citizenry. It is my opinion that a growing economy not based in large part on manufacturing is an eventual house of cards anyway. Here, the gov't. has actually become dependent upon citizens living beyond their means and has constructed it's budget as such. Its been my contention all along that eventually, everyone will find conservatism. Citizens have found it in the form of scaling back, saving and returning to value. Eventually gov't. must follow suit, but will most likely do so kicking and screaming like a spoiled child. Recent events in California are a good indicator of what's to come nationally.

Needed-Clarification

When you say "the fed could borrow and print only what it would need to sustain itself during the tax revenue shortfall", are you referring to the Federal Government or the Federal Reserve? My understanding is the government borrows from the Federal Reserve (at interest). If the Federal Reserve is borrowing, then from whom - the IMF?
I know what I am about to propose is an old arguement, but whichever credit arrangement is implied by either of the scenarios discussed above, may be part of the problem if continued. We may have to make the radical systemic change and abolish the Federal Reserve and return monetary functions to the Treasury Department, its Constitutionally rightful place. We then, the citizenry via the government, would not be paying interest on our own money. I have heard the opinion expressed that this would be helpful in the control of inflation and the wicked gyrations from boom to bust,as we are experiencing at present.This debate has arisen many times in our history. It may be time to have it again. I would be very interested in your thoughts on this. You seem to to have firmer grasp of the subtleties of macroeconomics than I do. I have an initial tendency towards radicalism that may not always be good or practical.